So much was covered in the morning session at ATC I will try and summarise some of my thoughts in a few posts.
First for the summary was Dr John Sullivan, and like always he provided a massive amount of information and stirred up the crowd. Here is a summary of his one hour information dump on us:
Early Warning Signs of downturn
- # of approvals to get a req approved
- Travel freezes
- Paper clip memo – do not buy small stuff
- Stop hiring contingency workers/or laying them off
- Other firms freeze their hiring
- Recruiting budgets cut
- Layoffs, furloughs, pay freezes
Why this is different
- Volatility of stock markets & credit availability with short spurts of growth
- Global markets, means that there is still growth out there
- Global competition will increase as organitions need to regain their positions
- Expectations for innovations will not decrease
- Churn will be common (hiring & laying off at the same time)
- Government bailouts
- No other career options for recruiters
Advantages of recruiting during tough times
- Less competition from other firms, because less recruitment budgets, means it will be easier to sell the job to candidates (I don’t agree with this point)
- More high quality candidates available as some of the layoffs are massive in scope
- Less loyalty amongst survivors
- Weakened employer brands
- Turnover & retirements rates will decrease
- Cheap recruiting technology
- get ready to explode out of the box when things turn around
- Tight times make you stronger
- Workforce planning will be encouraged
- Some industries will suffer less
Potential Problems during Downturns
- Executives are already viewing this as a time that has surplus talent which means they think there is no need for recruiting
- Resource limits that impact top performances
- Stock options are no longer a major motivator (other engagement tools)
- Job security is king
- Increased volume of traffic
- Relocation issues (no credit)
- Loss of trust & confidence in organisations
- Managers will be less focused on recruiting
- Technology budgets disappear
- HR politics gets worse (aka build vs buy)